Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 4.293364 4.608396 4.950834 5.353654 5.818450 6.342880 6.986642
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 3.869363 4.274991 4.740199 5.322047 6.043695 6.928922 8.130856
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.573792 4.038812 4.595553 5.328692 6.298138 7.585305 9.524110
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 3.339906 3.847310 4.477675 5.346958 6.567830 8.322583 11.282888
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.212754 3.773313 4.496841 5.545297 7.121539 9.615025 14.512386
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.959452 3.514090 4.245824 5.337721 7.049729 9.933905 16.260759
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.841021 3.422300 4.211830 5.438128 7.479179 11.260256 21.260314
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.720870 3.317845 4.149279 5.487417 7.841471 12.635520 28.401128
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 2.558091 3.142340 3.968534 5.327945 7.806180 13.190532 34.246947
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 2.402329 2.966911 3.774303 5.124930 7.655336 13.445593 39.961452
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.375380 2.973006 3.852025 5.386154 8.477209 16.685869 85.604275
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.412470 3.074590 4.087042 5.965170 10.198679 24.907928 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.292760 2.946744 3.965271 5.911911 10.564624 29.646463 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.171299 2.808299 3.814217 5.781508 10.709914 34.200401 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.072285 2.698293 3.701652 5.713898 11.031196 41.828758 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.986822 2.604064 3.607980 5.672895 11.443234 54.021079 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.939140 2.566463 3.609428 5.839613 12.664241 98.200952 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.835617 2.432864 3.428994 5.571276 12.219009 104.803044 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.786033 2.384146 3.398133 5.644696 13.158417 245.613875 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.733958 2.328152 3.349069 5.668112 13.955601 1765.001051 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.660449 2.232843 3.219764 5.476469 13.689014 112376.288881 NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.587477 2.135413 3.080877 5.245879 13.155918 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.574821 2.138159 3.131435 5.502444 15.275661 NaN NaN